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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Kloc 13.2% 14.5% 13.4% 13.5% 12.7% 10.7% 9.8% 6.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.4%
Torrey Chisari 18.4% 17.7% 13.2% 13.7% 10.0% 9.2% 7.8% 5.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.6%
Meredith Moran 19.1% 16.9% 16.0% 12.8% 11.7% 9.7% 6.6% 3.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Aubin Hattendorf 5.9% 6.9% 7.6% 8.5% 10.2% 9.8% 11.2% 13.2% 10.6% 11.0% 5.1%
Elizabeth Starck 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 8.7% 9.4% 11.7% 11.8% 11.1% 8.1% 7.5% 2.6%
Leah Rickard 8.6% 9.0% 11.0% 10.5% 9.3% 12.2% 10.2% 10.3% 9.2% 6.7% 2.9%
Allison Volk 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 4.3% 5.0% 6.6% 7.4% 10.8% 14.5% 19.1% 21.6%
Laura Smith 5.0% 5.3% 6.2% 6.7% 7.3% 7.5% 9.3% 11.8% 14.8% 14.5% 11.6%
Islay Van Dusen 9.3% 10.0% 11.0% 10.8% 12.2% 10.5% 11.0% 10.4% 7.6% 5.1% 2.0%
Caroline Sandoval 5.6% 4.8% 5.3% 6.9% 8.4% 7.8% 9.6% 10.5% 14.2% 15.6% 11.5%
Hannah Mercurio 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 3.7% 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 6.6% 11.5% 16.9% 41.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.