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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+3.40vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.94vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+0.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.52+2.31vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.79-0.43vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University-0.16+1.02vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.92vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.96-3.68vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.54-2.92vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.58-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Georgetown University1.3713.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Pennsylvania1.7218.4%1st Place
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3.78Cornell University1.8819.1%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy0.525.9%1st Place
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5.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.919.8%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island0.798.6%1st Place
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8.02Old Dominion University-0.162.9%1st Place
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7.08Christopher Newport University-0.845.0%1st Place
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5.32George Washington University0.969.3%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University0.545.6%1st Place
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8.91University of Virginia-0.582.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Riley Kloc | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Torrey Chisari | 18.4% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
Meredith Moran | 19.1% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 5.1% |
Elizabeth Starck | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
Leah Rickard | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
Allison Volk | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 21.6% |
Laura Smith | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.6% |
Islay Van Dusen | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
Caroline Sandoval | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 11.5% |
Hannah Mercurio | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.