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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.51vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.33+2.91vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+5.87vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.57+6.79vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.12+0.81vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51+1.77vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.68-0.67vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+2.01vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.89-3.40vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.06-5.20vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-4.19vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.72-5.85vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University1.87-4.03vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.10-0.32vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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5.91College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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9.87Georgetown University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.79Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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8.77George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.36Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.33University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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12.01Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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7.6Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.81Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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10.97Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.68Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.92University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 24.0% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Sands | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Andril | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Richard Ross | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 4.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| AJ Degen | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Marten Kendrick | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 3.7% |
| Tony Collins | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 20.5% | 55.5% |
| Lucas Ryder | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 30.6% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.