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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+5.51vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+6.63vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+6.83vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.33+2.07vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.06+1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.72+2.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.40vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+3.78vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.68-1.90vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.07vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.89-5.45vs Predicted
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14Clemson University-0.10+1.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-0.17vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.57-4.12vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.87-5.92vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.87-10.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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8.63Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.83Georgetown University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.07College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Wisconsin2.720.1%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.78Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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9.03George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.1University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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3.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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7.55Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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15.55Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.83University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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11.88Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.08Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.69Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Andril | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| William Sands | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Boylan | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 4.8% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| AJ Degen | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 21.0% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 23.4% | 54.5% |
| Lucas Ryder | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 30.9% | 32.2% |
| Richard Ross | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 4.8% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.