Race 10B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Leah Rickard 8.8% 9.3% 9.6% 10.2% 10.7% 10.7% 12.7% 10.5% 9.1% 6.2% 2.2%
Riley Kloc 14.6% 14.3% 15.6% 12.5% 10.7% 9.3% 8.3% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 1.2%
Elizabeth Starck 8.6% 10.1% 8.8% 10.0% 11.7% 11.8% 10.8% 11.9% 8.6% 5.5% 2.5%
Torrey Chisari 16.2% 16.7% 15.7% 14.0% 10.7% 10.4% 7.4% 5.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Meredith Moran 19.6% 16.9% 15.2% 13.3% 12.5% 8.1% 6.4% 4.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Islay Van Dusen 10.0% 10.2% 10.2% 11.4% 10.5% 10.8% 11.3% 10.3% 8.3% 5.1% 2.0%
Allison Volk 3.5% 3.1% 4.2% 4.4% 5.0% 6.8% 8.5% 8.6% 14.2% 19.4% 22.2%
Aubin Hattendorf 6.8% 6.3% 6.6% 8.3% 9.7% 9.8% 11.9% 11.7% 13.3% 10.4% 5.4%
Caroline Sandoval 4.8% 5.1% 6.3% 6.9% 6.8% 9.7% 8.4% 11.6% 15.0% 15.8% 9.8%
Laura Smith 5.0% 5.6% 5.5% 6.6% 7.8% 8.9% 9.6% 10.5% 13.9% 16.0% 10.8%
Hannah Mercurio 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.6% 4.1% 3.9% 4.9% 8.1% 8.7% 17.2% 43.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.