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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+5.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.74vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.51+5.82vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+4.67vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.68+3.06vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+4.02vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.33-1.00vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+3.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.26vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.87+0.96vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.57+0.97vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-5.45vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.72-5.81vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.06-8.03vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.89-8.53vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-2.15vs Predicted
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18Clemson University-0.10-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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8.82George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.67Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.06University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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10.02Georgetown University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.0College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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11.77Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.96Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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11.97Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.55Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Wisconsin2.720.1%1st Place
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6.97Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.47Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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14.85University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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15.71Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 21.7% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| AJ Degen | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| John Andril | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| William Sands | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
| Michael Popp | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Richard Ross | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 4.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Ryder | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 30.2% | 31.3% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 20.2% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.