Race 11B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Kloc 12.9% 16.2% 13.2% 13.1% 11.4% 11.6% 8.6% 6.8% 3.7% 2.1% 0.5%
Meredith Moran 20.0% 14.7% 17.0% 13.1% 11.3% 9.4% 6.3% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Allison Volk 2.7% 3.1% 3.8% 4.2% 5.5% 6.2% 6.8% 9.7% 13.3% 20.9% 23.9%
Islay Van Dusen 10.0% 10.7% 9.9% 11.0% 10.8% 10.3% 11.6% 9.7% 8.3% 5.2% 2.5%
Aubin Hattendorf 6.8% 7.3% 8.5% 8.3% 10.1% 9.2% 12.3% 11.7% 10.4% 9.4% 6.0%
Leah Rickard 9.0% 9.7% 9.7% 10.4% 10.8% 11.5% 10.3% 10.5% 9.1% 6.2% 2.9%
Hannah Mercurio 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 6.2% 7.3% 11.4% 18.4% 40.4%
Caroline Sandoval 4.8% 5.1% 6.0% 6.6% 8.6% 7.8% 10.1% 11.7% 15.0% 14.6% 9.7%
Torrey Chisari 17.2% 16.7% 15.1% 13.0% 10.9% 10.3% 7.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Elizabeth Starck 10.2% 9.3% 8.6% 10.4% 9.2% 11.3% 10.5% 11.9% 9.7% 5.8% 3.0%
Laura Smith 4.7% 5.3% 5.9% 6.9% 8.1% 8.6% 9.8% 11.3% 13.6% 15.2% 10.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.