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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+5.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.72+5.06vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+4.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.50vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.89+1.58vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.33-1.02vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+3.77vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.57+3.11vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.06-3.24vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.68-2.63vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.51-3.21vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-5.38vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.87-2.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-0.27vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.10-1.32vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.20-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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3.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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8.06University of Wisconsin2.720.1%1st Place
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8.73Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.58Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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5.98College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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11.77Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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12.11Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.37University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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8.79George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.62Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.12Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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14.73University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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15.68Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
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9.96Georgetown University2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 21.5% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Popp | 10.9% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Sands | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 4.1% |
| Richard Ross | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 4.3% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| AJ Degen | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Ryder | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 29.5% | 31.1% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 21.4% | 55.5% |
| John Andril | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.