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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+8.45vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+9.24vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.57vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.07vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.89+5.54vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.21+5.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+2.62vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.99vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.76vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-3.48vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.82-2.12vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.43-2.30vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.87-1.93vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.40-7.44vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-7.09vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.47-4.87vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.79-4.32vs Predicted
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18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.45Old Dominion University1.813.9%1st Place
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11.24Washington College1.663.2%1st Place
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6.57SUNY Maritime College2.519.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Pennsylvania2.429.1%1st Place
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10.54Fordham University1.894.0%1st Place
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11.65Christopher Newport University1.212.1%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.2%1st Place
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6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.5%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Naval Academy2.258.4%1st Place
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6.52Cornell University2.389.6%1st Place
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8.88George Washington University1.825.6%1st Place
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9.7Webb Institute1.435.0%1st Place
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11.07Princeton University1.872.5%1st Place
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6.56Georgetown University2.4010.9%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.166.8%1st Place
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11.13Hampton University1.473.4%1st Place
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12.68University of Virginia0.791.5%1st Place
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17.15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 2.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Brian Fox | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 2.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Earl | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 2.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Will Murray | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Montague | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 5.1% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 7.5% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.