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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.88vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40-0.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.25+0.03vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.05-1.70vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57St. Mary's College of Maryland1.048.3%1st Place
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2.88University of Pennsylvania2.1623.3%1st Place
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2.25Georgetown University2.4037.2%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Naval Academy1.2511.6%1st Place
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5.22St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Vermont1.059.3%1st Place
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5.75SUNY Maritime College-0.023.8%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.711.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 4.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 23.3% | 22.9% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 37.2% | 28.2% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hugh Carty | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 10.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 26.6% | 18.5% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 15.8% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.