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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+6.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.72+5.05vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.33+2.01vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.12+1.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.23vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51+1.80vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.06-1.24vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54-0.10vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.87+0.97vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-3.27vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.04vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.57-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-0.14vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.10-0.43vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.68-8.80vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.20-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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3.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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8.05University of Wisconsin2.720.1%1st Place
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6.01College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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6.48College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.8George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.9Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.97Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.73Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.96Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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12.04Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.86University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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15.57Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.2University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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9.91Georgetown University2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 22.5% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Sands | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Marten Kendrick | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 4.1% |
| Richard Ross | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 4.8% |
| Lucas Ryder | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 31.7% | 32.0% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 20.7% | 55.0% |
| AJ Degen | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| John Andril | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.