← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.27+2.49vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida3.29+1.51vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.20+0.68vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.83+0.40vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College1.35+1.82vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii3.04-2.05vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.47-1.93vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.49Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
-
3.51University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
-
3.68College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
-
4.4University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
-
6.82Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
-
3.95University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
5.07Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
-
5.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 18.1% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 18.2% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 18.1% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 16.9% | 56.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.9% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Amy Baxter | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 13.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.