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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+8.32vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+5.15vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.65vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.43+5.73vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.75+1.22vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-0.03vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.87+4.25vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89+2.41vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.79+3.94vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25-2.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.59vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-5.51vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.82-4.17vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.21-2.25vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-6.71vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.66-4.79vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.47-5.86vs Predicted
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18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32Old Dominion University1.815.8%1st Place
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7.15University of Pennsylvania2.427.4%1st Place
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6.65SUNY Maritime College2.519.8%1st Place
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9.73Webb Institute1.433.2%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University2.7510.8%1st Place
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5.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6511.9%1st Place
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11.25Princeton University1.872.3%1st Place
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10.41Fordham University1.893.5%1st Place
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12.94University of Virginia0.791.3%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Naval Academy2.258.8%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.545.7%1st Place
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6.49Cornell University2.389.7%1st Place
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8.83George Washington University1.826.0%1st Place
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11.75Christopher Newport University1.212.1%1st Place
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8.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.6%1st Place
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11.21Washington College1.662.7%1st Place
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11.14Hampton University1.473.0%1st Place
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16.96Rochester Institute of Technology-1.070.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Montague | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 21.8% | 5.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Hayden Earl | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Brian Fox | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 3.6% |
| Will Murray | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 2.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 1.9% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.