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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+2.40vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+0.99vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.83-0.63vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.47-1.00vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20-3.28vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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3.55Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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5.0Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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3.72College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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6.76Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 20.5% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 18.3% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.1% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 15.1% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 5.5% |
| Amy Baxter | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 13.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 17.7% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 18.5% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.