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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.83+3.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+0.51vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20-0.28vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27-1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04-2.06vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.47-1.94vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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3.51University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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3.72College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.5Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.06Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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6.73Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Scheuermann | 12.3% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 5.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 16.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 20.0% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 16.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 18.0% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| Amy Baxter | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 13.9% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 17.9% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.