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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+2.63vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+2.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.23vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27-0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.83-1.60vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29-3.34vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.65Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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3.61Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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4.02University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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3.66University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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6.81Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 19.6% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 9.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 16.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 17.4% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 13.1% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 3.5% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 12.4% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 7.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 18.0% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.