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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+3.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.92vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+1.58vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+3.39vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.59vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.43+2.28vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.87+2.74vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-1.52vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81-1.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.28vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-2.00vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.44-3.31vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.66-3.42vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.47-4.66vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.21-5.24vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33SUNY Maritime College2.5110.3%1st Place
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5.7Georgetown University2.7512.6%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy2.258.2%1st Place
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5.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6511.4%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University1.825.8%1st Place
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6.59University of Pennsylvania2.428.8%1st Place
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9.28Webb Institute1.434.5%1st Place
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10.74Princeton University1.873.0%1st Place
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7.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.7%1st Place
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8.74Old Dominion University1.814.6%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.3%1st Place
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10.0Fordham University1.894.0%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University1.444.6%1st Place
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10.58Washington College1.662.9%1st Place
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10.34Hampton University1.473.5%1st Place
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10.76Christopher Newport University1.213.5%1st Place
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16.16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 2.4% |
| Will Murray | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 1.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 1.7% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 2.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Brian Fox | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 3.9% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 79.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.