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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+2.49vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+1.05vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.83+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29-1.39vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73-1.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.69vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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3.74College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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3.61University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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4.57Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.8Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 20.1% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 17.0% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.1% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 6.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 16.9% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 9.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 21.9% | 17.5% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 18.0% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.