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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+2.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.83+0.42vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20-1.26vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73-1.43vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27-3.36vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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3.74College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.57Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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3.64Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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6.82Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 20.5% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 17.9% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.4% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 3.3% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 6.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 15.4% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 8.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 18.2% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.