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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+8.74vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.42+5.41vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.10vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.42+0.45vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.27+3.33vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.68+0.81vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.24vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.48+3.39vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.59-1.59vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.19+2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-3.25vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.62-4.80vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-0.34+0.76vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.59-6.91vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.34vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.72-6.71vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.27-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.74Webb Institute1.304.0%1st Place
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7.41SUNY Maritime College0.426.2%1st Place
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5.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5713.2%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Naval Academy2.6015.3%1st Place
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5.45Georgetown University2.4212.6%1st Place
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9.33George Washington University1.274.8%1st Place
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7.81Cornell University1.685.2%1st Place
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7.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.9%1st Place
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12.39Christopher Newport University0.481.5%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University1.596.2%1st Place
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13.43Washington College0.191.5%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.555.3%1st Place
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8.2Fordham University1.625.7%1st Place
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14.76University of Virginia-0.341.3%1st Place
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8.09University of Pennsylvania1.595.2%1st Place
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15.66Rochester Institute of Technology-0.640.6%1st Place
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10.29Hampton University0.723.0%1st Place
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12.95Princeton University0.271.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 15.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Grace | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 12.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 25.9% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Maguire | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 19.0% | 42.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.