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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+2.50vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+1.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.83-1.59vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73-2.36vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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3.75College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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5.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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3.62University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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4.64Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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6.8Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 20.4% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 16.6% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 16.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 17.3% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 12.9% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 3.2% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 7.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 9.9% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.