← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.42+4.77vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.54vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+4.68vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.17vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.30+4.97vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.59+2.48vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.19+6.76vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University0.84+3.25vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.68-1.12vs Predicted
-
10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+5.86vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.62-2.57vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.48+0.79vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-4.31vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University0.72-3.46vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia-0.34-0.11vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College0.42-8.51vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University1.27-7.54vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania1.90-10.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.77Georgetown University2.4211.0%1st Place
-
5.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5711.7%1st Place
-
7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.2%1st Place
-
5.17U. S. Naval Academy2.6013.2%1st Place
-
9.97Webb Institute1.304.2%1st Place
-
8.48Old Dominion University1.595.3%1st Place
-
13.76Washington College0.190.9%1st Place
-
11.25Princeton University0.842.1%1st Place
-
7.88Cornell University1.686.8%1st Place
-
15.86Rochester Institute of Technology-0.640.4%1st Place
-
8.43Fordham University1.625.5%1st Place
-
12.79Christopher Newport University0.482.2%1st Place
-
8.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.555.6%1st Place
-
10.54Hampton University0.723.8%1st Place
-
14.89University of Virginia-0.340.9%1st Place
-
7.49SUNY Maritime College0.426.9%1st Place
-
9.46George Washington University1.274.7%1st Place
-
7.35University of Pennsylvania1.907.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 13.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Maguire | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 19.9% | 45.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| David Grace | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 7.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 21.5% | 27.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.