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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+2.48vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+1.60vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+0.75vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.83-1.60vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.69vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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3.6Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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3.75College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.62Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.8Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 19.4% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 18.4% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 17.1% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 8.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 13.2% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 7.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 21.0% | 17.8% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.