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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+2.54vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+2.67vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29-0.41vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.35+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.83-1.60vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-2.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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4.67Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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3.73College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.59University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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6.85Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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4.4University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 18.3% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 9.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 17.8% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 2.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 17.7% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 58.8% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 12.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 6.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.4% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 4.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.