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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+2.49vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+2.63vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.83+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29-1.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-2.93vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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4.63Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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3.75College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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3.58University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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6.81Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 19.7% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 8.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 17.2% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 7.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 17.0% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 16.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 5.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 18.9% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.