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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+2.66vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+0.59vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+0.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04-1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.83-2.56vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.63Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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3.59University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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4.6Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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6.79Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 17.1% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 17.4% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 18.7% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 9.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 15.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.8% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 6.8% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.