← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.29+2.53vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.83+2.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii3.04+1.03vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.73+0.63vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College1.35+1.85vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.20-2.28vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.71vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.27-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.53University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
-
4.46University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
-
4.03University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
4.63Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
-
6.85Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
-
3.72College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
-
5.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
-
3.5Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 18.0% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 7.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.4% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 3.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 11.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 8.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 15.5% | 58.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 16.0% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 23.6% | 15.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 19.5% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.