Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elliott Mendenhall 6.7% 7.6% 8.5% 8.0% 8.7% 9.3% 10.0% 10.9% 10.8% 10.2% 9.4%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 17.6% 14.8% 15.6% 12.3% 11.8% 9.0% 8.1% 4.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
Jed Bell 12.7% 10.7% 11.2% 11.8% 12.7% 9.3% 9.7% 7.8% 6.8% 4.7% 2.5%
Ethan Burt 7.0% 9.2% 8.1% 9.2% 9.2% 9.6% 10.5% 10.8% 10.8% 9.2% 6.5%
Charlotte Costikyan 11.1% 10.9% 11.2% 11.2% 10.1% 11.8% 8.8% 9.0% 8.0% 5.3% 2.9%
Ryan Mckinney 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 6.8% 7.0% 8.7% 10.3% 11.0% 11.7% 14.0% 12.7%
Andrew Powers 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 5.5% 6.8% 8.0% 9.3% 9.8% 13.1% 14.8% 16.8%
Jean-Michel Bus 3.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.4% 5.9% 6.5% 6.5% 8.6% 11.2% 17.2% 25.9%
Liam Lawless 5.4% 5.5% 5.8% 6.9% 6.5% 7.8% 9.3% 10.5% 10.7% 13.7% 18.0%
Declan Botwinick 12.4% 13.5% 11.7% 12.5% 10.8% 9.5% 9.0% 8.0% 5.7% 4.4% 2.6%
Shea Smith 11.9% 12.6% 11.3% 10.6% 10.8% 10.7% 8.5% 9.0% 7.6% 4.8% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.