Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian Hopkins Guerra 18.3% 14.7% 14.3% 14.1% 11.2% 8.6% 6.7% 6.0% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Charlotte Costikyan 11.1% 12.6% 10.9% 10.1% 10.8% 10.1% 10.0% 9.7% 7.4% 4.9% 2.6%
Ethan Burt 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 10.8% 11.2% 10.3% 9.6% 7.2%
Jed Bell 11.9% 11.7% 12.3% 11.3% 10.9% 10.4% 9.3% 8.5% 6.8% 4.8% 2.0%
Andrew Powers 4.5% 5.9% 6.2% 5.8% 7.3% 8.0% 7.9% 9.5% 13.1% 14.3% 17.4%
Liam Lawless 4.5% 5.5% 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 7.2% 8.6% 10.3% 12.1% 16.0% 17.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.2% 7.4% 8.2% 8.1% 8.4% 10.5% 10.0% 10.0% 11.0% 10.7% 8.5%
Ryan Mckinney 6.1% 6.7% 6.3% 7.1% 8.3% 7.2% 10.1% 9.8% 11.8% 12.7% 14.0%
Jean-Michel Bus 3.6% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 6.4% 6.7% 6.9% 8.4% 11.2% 16.0% 25.7%
Declan Botwinick 13.4% 12.9% 12.0% 12.6% 9.6% 9.8% 10.4% 7.0% 5.9% 4.3% 1.8%
Shea Smith 11.7% 10.4% 11.1% 10.5% 11.1% 11.7% 9.4% 9.6% 6.7% 4.9% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.