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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.73+3.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+1.62vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.83+0.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-2.48vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-2.95vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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3.62Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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3.75College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.44University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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3.52University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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6.79Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solvig Sayre | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 8.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 17.3% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 17.2% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 7.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 15.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 18.8% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 16.0% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.