Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Declan Botwinick 12.3% 13.9% 10.8% 12.1% 11.9% 11.1% 8.5% 8.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.7%
Shea Smith 11.2% 11.8% 11.1% 12.6% 10.6% 11.0% 9.7% 8.6% 6.1% 5.1% 2.3%
Liam Lawless 5.1% 4.8% 5.8% 5.1% 8.0% 8.2% 8.9% 9.6% 12.4% 14.8% 17.2%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 18.9% 15.0% 15.4% 13.3% 11.6% 8.8% 6.8% 5.0% 3.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Andrew Powers 5.1% 5.7% 5.3% 6.0% 7.2% 8.1% 8.6% 9.9% 12.8% 13.7% 17.4%
Charlotte Costikyan 11.5% 11.1% 12.2% 10.9% 11.6% 10.3% 8.5% 8.9% 7.0% 5.3% 2.8%
Ethan Burt 6.7% 8.4% 8.2% 9.3% 8.6% 8.8% 10.5% 10.4% 11.6% 9.4% 8.2%
Ryan Mckinney 5.8% 6.5% 5.4% 6.4% 6.2% 7.6% 11.2% 10.3% 12.6% 14.0% 14.0%
Jean-Michel Bus 4.0% 3.5% 5.0% 5.5% 5.6% 6.6% 7.8% 9.8% 11.2% 16.4% 24.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.6% 7.9% 7.6% 7.2% 8.8% 9.4% 10.7% 10.9% 10.1% 11.8% 8.9%
Jed Bell 12.8% 11.6% 13.4% 11.5% 9.9% 10.1% 8.9% 8.2% 7.3% 4.2% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.