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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+2.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+1.61vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.83+0.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04-1.98vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.35-0.15vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.73-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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3.61Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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3.76College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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6.85Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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4.5Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 18.3% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 17.9% | 19.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 17.4% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 7.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 14.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.9% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 59.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 11.1% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.