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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+2.05vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73+1.57vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.83-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-2.44vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27-3.35vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.57Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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3.56University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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3.65Stanford University3.270.2%1st Place
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6.83Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 19.2% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 7.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 15.4% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 6.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 18.0% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 18.2% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 16.2% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.