Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian Hopkins Guerra 17.2% 17.0% 13.6% 13.2% 10.1% 8.5% 7.9% 5.7% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8%
Andrew Powers 5.0% 5.7% 6.2% 5.5% 6.1% 7.5% 9.3% 10.2% 11.2% 14.8% 18.5%
Charlotte Costikyan 12.3% 11.4% 11.8% 11.1% 10.9% 10.7% 8.9% 9.0% 6.2% 5.9% 1.8%
Declan Botwinick 14.0% 11.2% 12.0% 11.7% 11.9% 10.9% 8.3% 7.4% 6.8% 4.0% 1.8%
Shea Smith 10.9% 10.9% 11.1% 11.8% 12.7% 9.4% 8.9% 8.1% 7.4% 6.0% 2.8%
Ethan Burt 7.3% 7.5% 9.0% 9.1% 10.1% 9.2% 10.2% 10.4% 11.3% 8.5% 7.4%
Ryan Mckinney 6.1% 5.8% 6.4% 6.3% 7.0% 9.0% 10.2% 10.2% 11.7% 13.5% 13.8%
Liam Lawless 4.7% 4.9% 5.7% 6.9% 7.0% 8.5% 8.8% 10.2% 12.1% 13.6% 17.8%
Jean-Michel Bus 3.6% 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% 6.5% 6.3% 8.1% 10.1% 11.1% 15.3% 25.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.9% 8.6% 8.1% 7.8% 7.5% 9.8% 8.9% 10.8% 12.4% 11.2% 8.0%
Jed Bell 11.9% 12.6% 11.8% 11.9% 10.4% 10.2% 10.2% 8.0% 5.9% 5.0% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.