Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jed Bell 12.2% 11.6% 11.4% 12.2% 11.5% 9.8% 9.5% 8.5% 6.9% 4.0% 2.5%
Andrew Powers 4.3% 4.7% 6.3% 6.6% 6.1% 7.7% 9.4% 10.1% 11.2% 15.2% 18.4%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 17.6% 18.1% 12.9% 12.6% 10.8% 9.6% 7.0% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.6% 6.3% 7.8% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 10.2% 10.4% 10.7% 11.2% 8.8%
Shea Smith 10.8% 10.8% 12.0% 9.9% 10.9% 9.8% 10.1% 9.9% 7.9% 5.2% 2.6%
Ethan Burt 8.0% 8.2% 9.4% 8.9% 9.6% 9.3% 10.9% 8.8% 8.8% 10.2% 7.8%
Liam Lawless 5.0% 5.2% 6.5% 7.3% 7.1% 8.3% 7.5% 10.3% 11.5% 14.5% 16.7%
Declan Botwinick 11.8% 12.2% 12.8% 12.3% 11.7% 10.3% 9.0% 7.9% 6.3% 3.6% 1.9%
Jean-Michel Bus 4.3% 4.8% 3.9% 4.8% 6.1% 6.4% 7.1% 9.6% 13.0% 15.0% 25.1%
Ryan Mckinney 6.6% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0% 7.0% 9.2% 9.5% 10.2% 12.7% 14.3% 13.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 11.8% 12.3% 11.2% 10.5% 10.2% 10.4% 9.7% 8.6% 7.6% 5.1% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.