← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.64+3.26vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.71vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+5.11vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine1.35+4.37vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.94vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.24vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California1.52-0.27vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University0.77+0.91vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.71-3.01vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.83-2.08vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-8.25vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara0.16-2.24vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego1.60-7.64vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.64-2.39vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-0.46-3.64vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-0.43-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.26University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
-
5.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
-
8.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.1%1st Place
-
8.37University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
4.06California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
-
6.76University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
-
7.73University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
-
9.91Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
-
6.99University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
-
9.92University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
-
4.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
-
11.76University of California at Santa Barbara0.160.0%1st Place
-
7.36University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
13.61University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
-
13.36University of California at Los Angeles-0.460.0%1st Place
-
13.35University of California at San Diego-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 17.3% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Gregory Dair | 18.5% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nora Brackbill | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Cobi Allen | 16.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Byerley | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.6% |
| John Olson | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Sinclair | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 31.7% |
| Zachary Chin | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 27.8% |
| James Roberts | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 21.8% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.