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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Powers 5.5% 4.9% 6.1% 5.8% 6.2% 8.3% 8.8% 9.9% 11.5% 15.8% 17.2%
Jed Bell 13.1% 11.8% 10.7% 11.1% 11.9% 10.1% 8.5% 8.2% 7.7% 4.5% 2.6%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 17.6% 14.8% 14.5% 13.7% 10.7% 8.9% 8.4% 5.3% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4%
Shea Smith 11.6% 10.8% 11.5% 10.6% 10.4% 12.3% 9.4% 8.4% 6.9% 5.1% 2.9%
Declan Botwinick 11.6% 12.5% 12.8% 13.1% 11.4% 10.2% 9.3% 7.5% 6.3% 3.5% 1.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.8% 6.8% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 8.6% 10.2% 10.6% 11.1% 11.1% 8.8%
Ethan Burt 7.3% 8.7% 8.8% 8.6% 9.8% 8.7% 9.4% 11.0% 10.4% 9.5% 7.8%
Liam Lawless 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.3% 6.2% 7.8% 8.8% 10.4% 12.5% 14.8% 17.5%
Jean-Michel Bus 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 4.5% 5.1% 6.9% 8.1% 8.7% 10.5% 16.8% 24.6%
Ryan Mckinney 5.7% 6.6% 6.1% 7.1% 8.0% 8.5% 9.2% 11.7% 12.1% 12.0% 13.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 11.1% 12.8% 10.1% 11.4% 11.2% 9.8% 9.7% 8.3% 7.0% 5.4% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.