Race 7A

cc-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Liam Lawless 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 6.7% 7.3% 7.5% 9.9% 10.9% 12.3% 13.4% 16.5%
Charlotte Costikyan 12.4% 11.8% 12.6% 11.5% 10.4% 10.8% 9.3% 7.4% 7.0% 4.3% 2.5%
Jed Bell 12.7% 12.9% 11.9% 11.1% 11.9% 10.3% 9.1% 7.0% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.2% 8.6% 8.8% 9.6% 8.0% 9.6% 10.0% 11.4% 10.4% 9.9% 6.6%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 18.1% 17.4% 14.1% 13.2% 10.4% 8.8% 8.2% 5.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4%
Fritz Baldauf 5.4% 5.5% 5.1% 6.0% 7.6% 6.9% 9.0% 10.2% 13.2% 13.9% 17.2%
Tyler Miller 7.9% 8.6% 9.0% 8.8% 10.8% 9.1% 10.4% 9.2% 8.7% 10.0% 7.3%
Shea Smith 12.0% 10.6% 12.5% 11.2% 10.5% 11.3% 10.5% 8.1% 6.4% 4.2% 2.5%
Ethan Burt 10.2% 9.4% 8.9% 8.8% 9.5% 10.0% 9.4% 10.9% 10.1% 7.1% 5.8%
Jean-Michel Bus 4.3% 4.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.1% 7.2% 6.2% 9.4% 11.1% 16.1% 23.5%
Andrew Powers 5.0% 5.8% 5.9% 7.0% 7.3% 8.4% 7.8% 10.3% 11.4% 15.3% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.