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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.64+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.83+1.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.60+1.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.71+0.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35+0.30vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-5.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.16-0.28vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.77-2.98vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.52-6.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.64-2.42vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.46-3.67vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.43-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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7.44University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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7.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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9.91University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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11.72University of California at Santa Barbara0.160.0%1st Place
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10.02Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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13.58University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.33University of California at Los Angeles-0.460.0%1st Place
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13.32University of California at San Diego-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 19.2% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 17.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Weis | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cobi Allen | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Erica Byerley | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 9.6% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alex Sinclair | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 32.2% |
| Zachary Chin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 27.4% |
| James Roberts | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 23.6% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.