Race 8A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Liam Lawless 5.2% 5.3% 7.0% 7.4% 7.1% 8.6% 8.7% 10.8% 11.9% 14.1% 13.9%
Charlotte Costikyan 11.6% 13.7% 12.4% 10.7% 9.2% 10.0% 8.6% 9.6% 6.7% 4.8% 2.9%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 18.6% 19.8% 14.1% 12.2% 11.0% 8.2% 5.9% 4.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.7%
Ethan Burt 7.0% 7.4% 9.6% 9.1% 10.8% 10.3% 11.6% 9.4% 9.2% 9.4% 6.1%
Shea Smith 12.9% 11.7% 12.3% 11.2% 12.3% 9.2% 8.6% 7.9% 7.6% 3.7% 2.4%
Fritz Baldauf 5.3% 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 7.6% 8.1% 7.8% 10.2% 11.5% 14.4% 17.0%
Tyler Miller 8.0% 8.5% 8.0% 8.2% 9.3% 10.7% 10.5% 9.9% 10.1% 9.5% 7.3%
Elliott Mendenhall 8.8% 6.7% 8.4% 8.1% 8.8% 11.1% 9.2% 10.4% 10.4% 10.1% 8.2%
Jed Bell 13.8% 11.9% 11.8% 13.5% 10.8% 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9%
Jean-Michel Bus 3.7% 3.8% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 6.3% 9.9% 10.0% 12.1% 14.9% 23.4%
Andrew Powers 5.1% 6.2% 5.6% 7.2% 7.2% 8.3% 10.0% 9.0% 10.9% 13.9% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.