Race 9A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jed Bell 12.9% 11.9% 12.6% 11.5% 11.5% 9.8% 9.5% 8.2% 6.9% 3.5% 1.8%
Fritz Baldauf 4.2% 6.0% 6.0% 6.6% 6.7% 7.0% 7.8% 10.9% 10.7% 15.4% 18.5%
Charlotte Costikyan 11.5% 10.8% 13.5% 10.6% 12.0% 11.0% 10.2% 7.4% 6.7% 4.4% 1.9%
Andrew Powers 5.9% 5.7% 5.8% 7.0% 6.9% 8.8% 9.4% 9.6% 11.2% 13.1% 16.8%
Tyler Miller 7.4% 7.9% 9.1% 7.5% 9.7% 8.8% 10.0% 11.8% 11.1% 10.1% 6.6%
Jean-Michel Bus 5.2% 4.2% 5.2% 5.0% 5.9% 7.9% 8.3% 9.3% 11.4% 15.2% 22.2%
Ethan Burt 7.3% 9.0% 7.4% 9.7% 9.7% 10.1% 10.3% 10.8% 10.0% 9.3% 6.4%
Shea Smith 13.1% 12.1% 12.0% 11.9% 10.6% 10.7% 9.7% 7.2% 5.1% 5.1% 2.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.8% 8.8% 8.1% 7.8% 8.8% 8.8% 9.4% 11.1% 10.8% 10.4% 8.1%
Liam Lawless 5.0% 6.4% 6.4% 8.3% 8.2% 8.2% 8.3% 9.9% 12.7% 11.7% 14.8%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 19.7% 17.2% 14.0% 14.0% 10.0% 8.9% 7.0% 3.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.