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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+5.98vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.80vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.60+1.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.71+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.83+1.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.34vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.77+0.04vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.52-3.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.35-3.85vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.83-6.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.16-3.13vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.46-2.66vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.40-3.69vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.43-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.16California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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7.49University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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10.04Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Santa Barbara0.160.0%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Los Angeles-0.460.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at San Diego-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.33University of California at San Diego-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiersten McDonald | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 17.1% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 18.0% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nora Brackbill | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Cobi Allen | 14.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Erica Byerley | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 10.9% |
| Zachary Chin | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 20.7% | 27.2% |
| Charlie Davidson | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 27.2% |
| James Roberts | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.