Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jed Bell 13.9% 12.9% 11.9% 12.0% 11.1% 10.5% 8.6% 7.1% 5.8% 4.0% 2.1%
Charlotte Costikyan 13.5% 13.7% 11.5% 11.6% 9.8% 10.4% 9.3% 7.4% 6.2% 4.2% 2.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.3% 8.5% 9.0% 8.1% 9.2% 10.0% 8.9% 10.1% 10.5% 10.6% 7.8%
Shea Smith 10.8% 12.4% 11.8% 11.9% 10.3% 10.4% 10.7% 8.6% 6.5% 4.2% 2.3%
Andrew Powers 5.5% 5.5% 4.7% 6.6% 7.3% 8.0% 10.3% 10.1% 12.3% 14.8% 14.9%
Fritz Baldauf 5.6% 4.9% 5.9% 7.1% 7.4% 7.5% 8.3% 9.7% 11.4% 15.2% 16.9%
Tyler Miller 7.0% 7.3% 9.1% 9.8% 8.8% 10.5% 10.2% 11.6% 10.4% 8.2% 7.2%
Jean-Michel Bus 4.8% 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 6.9% 6.7% 8.2% 9.6% 11.7% 14.5% 22.9%
Ethan Burt 8.1% 8.8% 9.0% 8.9% 10.2% 10.1% 10.0% 10.1% 9.4% 8.3% 7.0%
Liam Lawless 4.8% 5.7% 6.2% 5.6% 7.8% 7.0% 8.9% 11.2% 12.6% 14.7% 15.7%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 18.8% 15.8% 16.4% 12.6% 11.2% 8.9% 6.5% 4.5% 3.2% 1.3% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.