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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+5.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+3.77vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+2.99vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+2.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.71+6.15vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+1.87vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+2.61vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45-0.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.58+0.45vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.08-2.19vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.02-3.93vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-3.11vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-2.24vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.56vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.12-7.48vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Dartmouth College2.909.4%1st Place
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5.77Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University3.0511.8%1st Place
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6.71Brown University2.858.9%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island2.786.3%1st Place
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9.61Boston University1.795.0%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University2.456.8%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
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9.81Bowdoin College2.084.7%1st Place
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9.07Boston College2.025.1%1st Place
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10.89Connecticut College1.953.0%1st Place
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12.76Salve Regina University1.311.9%1st Place
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15.44Maine Maritime Academy0.270.6%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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13.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Walter Henry | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 44.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.