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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.81+3.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.17+1.48vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University1.51+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.30+2.56vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.02+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.46+0.62vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.44-2.42vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.12vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.47-8.93vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.42-5.22vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.90vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-2.93-1.55vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.33-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Irvine2.170.2%1st Place
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5.01Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Santa Barbara0.020.0%1st Place
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9.62University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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7.88California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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3.07University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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7.78University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.45University of California at Santa Barbara-2.930.0%1st Place
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9.44University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Delfino | 12.3% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 20.5% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 16.3% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Lehman | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 2.7% |
| Preston Beye | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 0.9% |
| Jiachao Yang | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 1.7% |
| Gabriel Monti | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| John Coakley | 24.9% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 31.9% | 8.8% |
| Haille Hogfeldt | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 7.9% | 82.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.