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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+6.71vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+10.77vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.87vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+3.92vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+4.48vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+2.44vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.58+4.52vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95+2.72vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.09vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.79vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-1.20vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.08-2.00vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.73-7.10vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-8.11vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.85-8.28vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.31vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.71-5.68vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71University of Rhode Island2.786.8%1st Place
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12.77Salve Regina University1.312.5%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University2.456.2%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University2.124.3%1st Place
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8.44Boston College2.205.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont1.582.7%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College1.953.4%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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13.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.8%1st Place
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9.8Boston University1.795.1%1st Place
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10.0Bowdoin College2.083.5%1st Place
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5.9Yale University2.7311.8%1st Place
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5.89Harvard University3.0512.7%1st Place
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6.72Brown University2.859.6%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.5%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University1.713.3%1st Place
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15.54Maine Maritime Academy0.270.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 11.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 20.5% | 20.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Jack Egan | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.