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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+3.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.89vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+3.66vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.78vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+1.74vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05-1.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12+1.47vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95+1.88vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71+1.14vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31+2.07vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-2.16vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.20-4.47vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.90-7.13vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.22vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-4.62vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.08-6.99vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Brown University2.859.9%1st Place
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5.89Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.9%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island2.787.4%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University2.457.8%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University3.0511.2%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University2.124.9%1st Place
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10.88Connecticut College1.952.9%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University1.712.6%1st Place
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13.07Salve Regina University1.311.4%1st Place
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9.84Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
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8.53Boston College2.205.3%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College2.909.3%1st Place
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13.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont1.582.4%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College2.084.4%1st Place
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15.53Maine Maritime Academy0.270.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Walter Henry | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Will Priebe | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 12.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.