← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.85+5.72vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.90+4.74vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.45+4.80vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.12+5.40vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.79+4.81vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.95+4.77vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.05-1.01vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.73-2.03vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.58+2.47vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.20-1.63vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.14vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.78-4.14vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.17vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.720.00vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.71-3.90vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.31-3.14vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.08-7.03vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.72Brown University2.859.2%1st Place
-
6.74Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
-
7.8Roger Williams University2.456.4%1st Place
-
9.4Tufts University2.124.3%1st Place
-
9.81Boston University1.794.3%1st Place
-
10.77Connecticut College1.952.9%1st Place
-
5.99Harvard University3.0511.5%1st Place
-
5.97Yale University2.7311.8%1st Place
-
11.47University of Vermont1.583.5%1st Place
-
8.37Boston College2.206.9%1st Place
-
7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
-
7.86University of Rhode Island2.787.1%1st Place
-
8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
-
14.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
-
11.1Northeastern University1.713.4%1st Place
-
12.86Salve Regina University1.311.8%1st Place
-
9.97Bowdoin College2.083.5%1st Place
-
15.48Maine Maritime Academy0.270.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Walter Henry | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 5.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 10.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 16.2% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.