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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.90vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+3.97vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+3.74vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.95+6.93vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.08+4.78vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+2.24vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+4.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.90-1.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+4.95vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-0.31vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-3.50vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.45-4.03vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.58-1.47vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-1.10vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-5.29vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.18vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-9.14vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Yale University2.7312.6%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University3.0512.0%1st Place
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6.74Brown University2.858.5%1st Place
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10.93Connecticut College1.952.6%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College2.084.2%1st Place
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8.24Boston College2.206.0%1st Place
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11.29Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.9010.1%1st Place
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13.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.2%1st Place
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9.69Boston University1.794.5%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island2.787.2%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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11.53University of Vermont1.581.9%1st Place
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12.9Salve Regina University1.311.4%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.7%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
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15.46Maine Maritime Academy0.270.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 21.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 11.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.