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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.86vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.81+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.17-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.64-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.55vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.77-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86California State University Channel Islands2.770.3%1st Place
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2.86California State University Channel Islands2.770.3%1st Place
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4.44University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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4.45University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.8Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 28.1% | 20.4% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 28.1% | 20.4% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 21.9% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 12.9% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 21.0% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 16.9% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 54.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.