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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+6.78vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+8.09vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.79vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+1.93vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+3.02vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.68vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+3.86vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.58+2.60vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-0.35vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.71+0.27vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-3.53vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.73-7.29vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.45vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-5.47vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-3.14vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.26vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-9.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78University of Rhode Island2.786.8%1st Place
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10.09Bowdoin College2.033.6%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.909.6%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University3.0511.5%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University2.457.2%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
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10.86Connecticut College1.953.2%1st Place
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6.81Brown University2.859.2%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont1.582.6%1st Place
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9.65Boston University1.794.9%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University1.712.7%1st Place
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8.47Boston College2.205.8%1st Place
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5.71Yale University2.7311.8%1st Place
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15.45Maine Maritime Academy0.270.9%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.124.0%1st Place
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12.86Salve Regina University1.311.8%1st Place
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13.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Will Priebe | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 45.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 20.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.