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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.88vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+0.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.17-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.81-1.50vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.77-1.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.83-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88California State University Channel Islands2.770.3%1st Place
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2.88California State University Channel Islands2.770.3%1st Place
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3.08University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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4.5University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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5.93Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 26.8% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 26.8% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 21.2% | 21.2% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 13.1% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 18.2% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 21.6% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 56.8% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 22.7% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.