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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+3.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+10.98vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+2.63vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+4.63vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.76vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+3.59vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+2.05vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12+0.59vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.78-2.33vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.90-4.12vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-3.59vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.58-1.70vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-2.67vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-1.99vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.45-8.03vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.42vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-9.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Yale University2.7312.0%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University3.0511.4%1st Place
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13.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.3%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston University1.794.9%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.6%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College1.954.5%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College2.034.0%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.124.7%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island2.786.9%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.908.0%1st Place
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8.41Boston College2.205.8%1st Place
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11.3University of Vermont1.583.4%1st Place
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11.33Northeastern University1.712.4%1st Place
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13.01Salve Regina University1.311.7%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University2.456.5%1st Place
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15.58Maine Maritime Academy0.270.8%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 20.4% | 20.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Walter Henry | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Will Priebe | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 47.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.