← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.73+4.73vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.45+5.87vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.85+3.84vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.72vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.05+0.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.58+5.30vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.90-0.51vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.31+4.77vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.79+0.53vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.71+0.75vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.71vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.78-4.42vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.20-4.91vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.12-4.88vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-3.07vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.03-6.00vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College1.95-6.63vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.73Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
-
7.87Roger Williams University2.456.2%1st Place
-
6.84Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
-
7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.7%1st Place
-
5.85Harvard University3.0511.3%1st Place
-
11.3University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
-
6.49Dartmouth College2.9010.7%1st Place
-
12.77Salve Regina University1.311.9%1st Place
-
9.53Boston University1.794.4%1st Place
-
10.75Northeastern University1.713.4%1st Place
-
13.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.0%1st Place
-
7.58University of Rhode Island2.788.0%1st Place
-
8.09Boston College2.206.6%1st Place
-
9.12Tufts University2.124.9%1st Place
-
11.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.1%1st Place
-
10.0Bowdoin College2.034.2%1st Place
-
10.37Connecticut College1.953.8%1st Place
-
15.34Maine Maritime Academy0.270.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 20.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 6.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Walter Henry | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 16.2% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.