Race 10A

schell

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Jack Egan 13.0% 11.2% 11.8% 10.4% 9.7% 7.6% 7.7% 6.3% 6.0% 5.1% 3.4% 2.3% 2.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Lachlain McGranahan 11.1% 11.4% 10.1% 9.9% 9.7% 7.4% 8.0% 7.5% 6.1% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Robert Bragg 9.3% 8.8% 8.0% 9.2% 8.2% 8.6% 8.2% 6.2% 5.7% 5.9% 5.5% 5.5% 4.7% 2.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Aidan Hoogland 7.1% 8.2% 7.6% 6.6% 7.0% 8.1% 6.8% 5.5% 7.1% 6.9% 5.9% 7.0% 5.1% 4.3% 3.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3%
Connor Nelson 8.7% 8.8% 8.5% 10.4% 8.8% 8.4% 8.2% 7.8% 6.5% 5.3% 5.1% 3.8% 3.5% 2.6% 1.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Thibault Antonietti 3.7% 5.1% 4.6% 3.6% 4.6% 4.8% 4.5% 6.0% 6.3% 5.9% 7.1% 7.3% 7.6% 7.5% 7.7% 6.9% 4.9% 1.8%
Kerem Erkmen 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 7.3% 7.0% 8.2% 6.7% 7.5% 6.4% 6.9% 6.2% 5.7% 5.0% 3.5% 2.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Nils Tullberg 2.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 4.0% 3.9% 5.1% 6.0% 5.8% 7.2% 10.4% 12.1% 13.4% 10.5%
Walter Henry 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% 3.5% 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 5.5% 5.9% 6.6% 5.8% 6.1% 6.0% 9.3% 8.5% 8.6% 6.0% 2.9%
Tyler Mowry 5.3% 4.7% 4.2% 4.8% 5.2% 6.6% 5.9% 5.2% 6.5% 5.8% 7.0% 6.2% 6.9% 7.8% 7.3% 5.9% 2.9% 1.8%
Connell Phillipps 2.7% 3.0% 3.0% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 3.9% 3.8% 4.5% 5.9% 5.7% 6.7% 7.8% 8.2% 10.1% 9.6% 9.7% 4.8%
Will Priebe 3.3% 3.3% 2.9% 4.0% 4.2% 3.6% 4.8% 4.5% 5.7% 5.7% 7.1% 6.8% 7.8% 7.8% 9.2% 8.3% 7.1% 3.9%
Michael Kirkman 5.8% 5.7% 6.9% 5.2% 6.8% 6.8% 6.0% 7.8% 7.1% 7.9% 7.0% 6.3% 6.6% 5.1% 3.6% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Tyler Egeli 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 4.4% 5.0% 7.5% 6.9% 10.9% 19.7% 21.6%
Matthew Kickhafer 2.4% 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 3.2% 2.8% 4.6% 4.3% 4.6% 5.5% 5.9% 5.3% 7.8% 7.1% 8.9% 11.2% 11.9% 7.1%
Sam Bruce 6.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.2% 7.2% 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 6.3% 6.0% 6.6% 6.0% 5.0% 4.6% 2.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Trevor Davis 4.9% 4.5% 5.5% 5.1% 5.3% 6.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.5% 6.3% 8.2% 6.9% 6.3% 6.2% 5.7% 3.4% 0.8%
Nalu Ho 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 3.9% 5.1% 6.5% 8.3% 14.8% 43.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.