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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+1.78vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.58vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.17-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.81-1.92vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.77-1.45vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.44-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78University of Southern California2.640.3%1st Place
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2.58California State University Channel Islands2.770.3%1st Place
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2.58California State University Channel Islands2.770.3%1st Place
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3.54University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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3.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.08University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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5.55Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 26.7% | 24.3% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 29.4% | 25.6% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 29.4% | 25.6% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 14.4% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 14.4% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.9% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 29.0% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 23.5% | 47.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.