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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.43+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47-0.92vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University1.51-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.83-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.35-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.3%1st Place
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5.38University of California at San Diego-0.430.0%1st Place
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2.08University of Southern California2.470.4%1st Place
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3.27Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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3.51University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 26.4% | 28.3% | 22.1% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| James Roberts | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 16.7% | 67.9% |
| John Coakley | 40.7% | 26.7% | 20.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Spenser Branch | 14.2% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 24.2% | 18.7% | 3.9% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 22.1% | 32.2% | 19.3% |
| Nicholas Weis | 11.3% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 23.7% | 22.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.