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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+5.80vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+6.13vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+9.83vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+2.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+3.44vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+2.85vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-2.25vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05-3.01vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20-1.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.14vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-4.30vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-2.97vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-2.86vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.95-4.42vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.12vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.48vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.58-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Dartmouth College2.909.5%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University2.456.9%1st Place
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12.83Salve Regina University1.311.7%1st Place
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6.74Brown University2.859.5%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University2.124.8%1st Place
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9.85Boston University1.794.0%1st Place
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5.75Yale University2.7312.7%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University3.0510.9%1st Place
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8.45Boston College2.205.9%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Rhode Island2.786.7%1st Place
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10.03Bowdoin College2.034.4%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University1.712.4%1st Place
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10.58Connecticut College1.953.5%1st Place
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13.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.1%1st Place
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15.52Maine Maritime Academy0.270.9%1st Place
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11.43University of Vermont1.583.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 11.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Jack Egan | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Walter Henry | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 19.7% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 45.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.