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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.43+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47-0.93vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University1.51-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.35-1.42vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.3%1st Place
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5.38University of California at San Diego-0.430.0%1st Place
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2.07University of Southern California2.470.4%1st Place
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3.27Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.58University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 26.3% | 28.4% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| James Roberts | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 15.9% | 68.3% |
| John Coakley | 41.2% | 26.3% | 20.7% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Spenser Branch | 14.3% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 26.1% | 17.3% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Weis | 9.8% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 22.9% | 23.0% | 8.4% |
| Nora Brackbill | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 34.6% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.