← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.73+4.79vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.90+5.01vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.05+2.96vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.76vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.31+7.76vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.45+1.85vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.87vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.79+1.74vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.85-2.24vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.03+0.05vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.88vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.12-2.46vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.20-4.34vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.54vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.92-4.63vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.58-4.45vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island2.78-9.17vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University1.71-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.79Yale University2.7312.7%1st Place
-
7.01Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
-
5.96Harvard University3.0511.2%1st Place
-
7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.5%1st Place
-
12.76Salve Regina University1.311.4%1st Place
-
7.85Roger Williams University2.456.5%1st Place
-
8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.5%1st Place
-
9.74Boston University1.794.0%1st Place
-
6.76Brown University2.859.9%1st Place
-
10.05Bowdoin College2.034.2%1st Place
-
13.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
-
9.54Tufts University2.124.7%1st Place
-
8.66Boston College2.206.0%1st Place
-
15.54Maine Maritime Academy0.270.8%1st Place
-
10.37Connecticut College1.923.4%1st Place
-
11.55University of Vermont1.583.0%1st Place
-
7.83University of Rhode Island2.786.7%1st Place
-
11.09Northeastern University1.712.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 20.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 46.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.