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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.00vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+5.74vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+4.96vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+1.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+3.41vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+0.62vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.90-0.21vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+1.75vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.25vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31+2.91vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-0.88vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-0.96vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.12-3.47vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.08vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.27+0.49vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-4.64vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.95-6.33vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Yale University2.7311.5%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island2.788.6%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University2.456.5%1st Place
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5.92Harvard University3.0512.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston College2.205.6%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.859.6%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.908.6%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.793.8%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.3%1st Place
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12.91Salve Regina University1.311.8%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College2.033.5%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University1.713.3%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.124.3%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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15.49Maine Maritime Academy0.271.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College1.953.2%1st Place
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14.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 12.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 15.4% | 47.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Walter Henry | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.