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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.43+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47-0.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.35-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.83-0.77vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University1.51-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.3%1st Place
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5.39University of California at San Diego-0.430.0%1st Place
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2.08University of Southern California2.470.4%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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3.32Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 26.3% | 28.6% | 22.1% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| James Roberts | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 16.5% | 68.2% |
| John Coakley | 40.6% | 27.1% | 19.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Weis | 12.3% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 25.0% | 22.3% | 5.4% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 20.5% | 33.3% | 19.1% |
| Spenser Branch | 13.5% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 24.6% | 17.7% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.