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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+0.09vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.43+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.35-0.50vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University1.51-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.3%1st Place
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2.09University of Southern California2.470.4%1st Place
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5.34University of California at San Diego-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.5University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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3.35Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 25.9% | 27.5% | 21.5% | 16.4% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| John Coakley | 41.2% | 26.8% | 18.7% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| James Roberts | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 69.2% |
| Nicholas Weis | 11.3% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 25.9% | 22.6% | 5.4% |
| Spenser Branch | 12.8% | 17.5% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 6.4% |
| Nora Brackbill | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 33.1% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.