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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+4.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.82vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+2.77vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+3.65vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+1.04vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.20+0.49vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-3.23vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71+0.99vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-0.81vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.02vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-2.17vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-4.48vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.15vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-4.52vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-4.19vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Harvard University3.0511.8%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.859.6%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.5%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island2.786.5%1st Place
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9.65Boston University1.795.0%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University2.456.7%1st Place
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8.49Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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5.77Yale University2.7311.6%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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10.19Bowdoin College2.033.1%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.2%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College1.954.0%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University2.125.0%1st Place
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13.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.8%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont1.582.8%1st Place
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12.81Salve Regina University1.311.5%1st Place
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15.52Maine Maritime Academy0.270.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 20.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 12.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 15.9% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.