← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.86vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.38+5.12vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.91+2.41vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.40+3.75vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.92+0.93vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.22+1.65vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.38+0.13vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.12+2.48vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.09-0.73vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.61+0.56vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.29-2.50vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.71+1.06vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.09vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.26-1.99vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.58vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.64vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University0.46-4.82vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.65-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.2%1st Place
-
7.12Dartmouth College2.388.3%1st Place
-
5.41Brown University2.9113.2%1st Place
-
7.75Boston College2.406.2%1st Place
-
5.93Yale University2.9211.5%1st Place
-
7.65Tufts University2.226.7%1st Place
-
7.13Bowdoin College2.388.6%1st Place
-
10.48Harvard University2.123.6%1st Place
-
8.27Roger Williams University2.095.8%1st Place
-
10.56University of Rhode Island1.613.5%1st Place
-
8.5Connecticut College2.296.4%1st Place
-
13.06University of Vermont0.711.4%1st Place
-
15.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
-
12.01Northeastern University1.262.0%1st Place
-
14.42Maine Maritime Academy0.411.3%1st Place
-
9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.9%1st Place
-
12.18Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
-
10.19Boston University1.653.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 18.5% | 36.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 27.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.