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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+3.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+1.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+1.49vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29-0.83vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.91-1.01vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61+0.55vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.53Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.49College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.17University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
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4.99Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.55Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 18.1% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 13.3% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 15.7% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Kaye Siemers | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 5.8% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 52.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 16.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.