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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+3.47vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+3.11vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+1.30vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.91+0.96vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74-1.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.16vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61+0.52vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.73vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.3Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.96Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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3.3Yale University3.740.3%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.52Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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4.23University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 6.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 13.3% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Kaye Siemers | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 25.3% | 20.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 14.2% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 52.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 9.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.