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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+6.13vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+4.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+1.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.78vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+1.53vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-0.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-1.43vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+0.20vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.12-0.83vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-3.70vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.61-2.57vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.47vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.26-2.77vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.99vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.71-3.97vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.46-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Bowdoin College2.388.3%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.9210.2%1st Place
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7.57Boston College2.406.9%1st Place
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5.39Brown University2.9113.7%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.3%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.4%1st Place
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8.53Connecticut College2.295.1%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.387.9%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University2.225.9%1st Place
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10.2Boston University1.653.4%1st Place
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10.17Harvard University2.124.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.096.8%1st Place
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10.43University of Rhode Island1.613.8%1st Place
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14.47Maine Maritime Academy0.411.2%1st Place
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12.23Northeastern University1.262.0%1st Place
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15.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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13.03University of Vermont0.711.4%1st Place
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12.35Salve Regina University0.462.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| William Michels | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Miles Williams | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 19.7% | 27.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 6.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 36.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 12.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.