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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+4.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+1.53vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+2.86vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+4.27vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.12+3.41vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-0.74vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29-0.34vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.61+0.69vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-4.76vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.67vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09-4.81vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.34vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.46-2.74vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.71-3.20vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.61vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.59-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.5%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University2.227.2%1st Place
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7.02Bowdoin College2.388.2%1st Place
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5.53Brown University2.9111.9%1st Place
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7.86Boston College2.406.7%1st Place
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10.27Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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10.41Harvard University2.123.5%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College2.388.2%1st Place
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8.66Connecticut College2.295.5%1st Place
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10.69University of Rhode Island1.612.8%1st Place
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6.24Yale University2.929.7%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.0%1st Place
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8.19Roger Williams University2.096.2%1st Place
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15.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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12.26Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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12.8University of Vermont0.712.1%1st Place
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14.39Maine Maritime Academy0.411.4%1st Place
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11.26Northeastern University1.593.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| William Michels | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Miles Williams | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 39.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 11.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 25.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.