← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University-1.38+2.26vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.60+1.72vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.81+0.33vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-0.03+2.43vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.58+0.40vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University0.73-1.31vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami-0.03-0.36vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University-0.27-0.83vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina-0.46-1.11vs Predicted
-
10University of Florida-0.98-2.34vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida-1.67-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26Jacksonville University-1.3822.3%1st Place
-
3.72University of South Florida1.6017.2%1st Place
-
3.33College of Charleston1.8121.1%1st Place
-
6.43North Carolina State University-0.034.9%1st Place
-
5.4Rollins College0.588.1%1st Place
-
4.69Clemson University0.7311.0%1st Place
-
6.64University of Miami-0.034.5%1st Place
-
7.17Florida State University-0.274.0%1st Place
-
7.89University of North Carolina-0.463.1%1st Place
-
7.66University of Florida-0.982.7%1st Place
-
9.81University of Central Florida-1.671.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emily Allen | 22.3% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Kay Brunsvold | 17.2% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Emma Tallman | 21.1% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Annika Milstien | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
Shay Bridge | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
Nilah Miller | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Arantxa Argibay | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
Tia Schoening | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 7.6% |
May Proctor | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 24.1% | 11.7% |
Natalie Ryder | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 10.5% |
Rain Hong | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.