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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+6.26vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+3.38vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+6.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.94vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.41+9.54vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+4.25vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+1.79vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-1.98vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46+3.30vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12+0.11vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-3.86vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.22-4.22vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.59-1.78vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.40-6.10vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.71-1.72vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.61-5.48vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.09-8.90vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Dartmouth College2.388.4%1st Place
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5.38Brown University2.9113.7%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.5%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.7%1st Place
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14.54Maine Maritime Academy0.411.3%1st Place
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10.25Boston University1.653.2%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College2.295.8%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.9210.1%1st Place
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12.3Salve Regina University0.461.8%1st Place
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10.11Harvard University2.124.2%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.389.3%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University2.226.6%1st Place
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11.22Northeastern University1.592.2%1st Place
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7.9Boston College2.405.8%1st Place
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13.28University of Vermont0.711.7%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island1.613.8%1st Place
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8.1Roger Williams University2.095.9%1st Place
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15.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 20.4% | 28.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 14.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.