← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.28+3.29vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.74+1.51vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.97+1.94vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.80vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.20-0.67vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida3.29-1.79vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University1.61+0.52vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.91-2.97vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.29Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
3.51Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
-
4.94Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
4.33College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
4.21University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
7.52Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
-
5.03Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
-
5.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 14.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 19.4% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 13.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 13.8% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 15.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 51.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 7.4% |
| Laura Dunphy | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.