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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.33vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.90vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+4.94vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.91-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.71+5.93vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.29+0.28vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.40-1.36vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-2.92vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.12-0.89vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.41+2.52vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.73vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-3.78vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-4.59vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-3.98vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.06vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.26-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Yale University2.4212.0%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University2.228.1%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College2.387.1%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.8%1st Place
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9.94Roger Williams University2.074.5%1st Place
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5.42Brown University2.9113.5%1st Place
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12.93University of Vermont0.711.8%1st Place
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8.28Connecticut College2.296.0%1st Place
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7.64Boston College2.407.0%1st Place
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7.08Bowdoin College2.388.5%1st Place
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10.11Harvard University2.123.3%1st Place
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14.52Maine Maritime Academy0.411.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.3%1st Place
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10.22Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island1.613.1%1st Place
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12.02Salve Regina University0.461.6%1st Place
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14.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.2%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University1.261.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 26.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 36.6% |
| Sam Monaghan | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.