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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+5.93vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.65+7.88vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+5.00vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.46+6.10vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.12+3.14vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-2.15vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.91-3.67vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.61+0.55vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.00vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.40-4.31vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-4.55vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.22-7.32vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.71-2.91vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.90vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.26-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Bowdoin College2.388.3%1st Place
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9.88Boston University1.654.8%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College2.386.7%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.1%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University2.074.5%1st Place
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12.1Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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10.14Harvard University2.123.5%1st Place
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5.85Yale University2.4211.0%1st Place
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5.33Brown University2.9113.2%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island1.612.8%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston College2.406.9%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College2.296.2%1st Place
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14.35Maine Maritime Academy0.411.2%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University2.226.6%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont0.711.9%1st Place
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15.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.5%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University1.262.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 25.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 37.6% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.