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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+3.30vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+2.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.02vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+0.80vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.91-0.10vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28-1.78vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.71vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-4.60vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.61-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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4.61College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.8Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.9Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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4.22Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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3.4Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.46Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 14.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 17.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 22.8% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.