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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+6.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+2.29vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+1.86vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.39vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+1.04vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+1.41vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-1.05vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.36vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12-0.13vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.07-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.87+0.98vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.22vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.38-2.83vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.46-2.95vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-3.78vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.65-7.02vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Boston College2.406.5%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.9%1st Place
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5.29Brown University2.9113.4%1st Place
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5.86Yale University2.4211.2%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University2.227.0%1st Place
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7.04Bowdoin College2.387.6%1st Place
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8.41Connecticut College2.296.0%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College2.388.9%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.0%1st Place
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9.87Harvard University2.124.3%1st Place
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9.84Roger Williams University2.074.3%1st Place
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12.98University of Vermont0.872.2%1st Place
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14.22Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Rhode Island1.383.1%1st Place
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12.05Salve Regina University0.462.1%1st Place
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12.22Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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9.98Boston University1.653.8%1st Place
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14.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 24.7% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.