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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.79vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+4.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.80vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+6.12vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+5.19vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40+1.52vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+0.03vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46+3.88vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.91-3.71vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-1.43vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.83vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.41+2.33vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.38-1.90vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-2.01vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.87-2.04vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.08vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.22-9.64vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.65-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Yale University2.4211.0%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.388.1%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.5%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University2.124.2%1st Place
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10.19Roger Williams University2.073.6%1st Place
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7.52Boston College2.407.1%1st Place
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7.03Bowdoin College2.387.2%1st Place
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11.88Salve Regina University0.462.4%1st Place
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5.29Brown University2.9114.8%1st Place
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8.57Connecticut College2.295.7%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.7%1st Place
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14.33Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
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11.1University of Rhode Island1.382.6%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University1.071.6%1st Place
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12.96University of Vermont0.871.5%1st Place
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14.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University2.227.2%1st Place
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10.05Boston University1.653.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 6.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 26.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 11.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 36.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.