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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+3.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+1.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.97vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+0.38vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28-0.81vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.61+1.44vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97-2.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.79vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.91-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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3.54Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.38College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.19Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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7.44Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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4.95Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.05Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 17.8% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 20.7% | 15.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 16.0% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 50.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.4% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 8.8% |
| Kaye Siemers | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.