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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.55vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+6.74vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+4.40vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+1.52vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+4.81vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+0.79vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.12+3.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.91-2.88vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38-2.02vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-1.59vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46+0.91vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.38-2.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.02vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.77vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-3.21vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.59-6.13vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.39-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.8%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.3%1st Place
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7.4Boston College2.408.2%1st Place
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5.52Yale University2.4212.3%1st Place
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9.81Roger Williams University2.073.7%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.388.7%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University2.122.7%1st Place
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5.12Brown University2.9114.3%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College2.388.1%1st Place
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8.41Connecticut College2.296.0%1st Place
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11.91Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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10.82Tufts University1.302.4%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island1.383.5%1st Place
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15.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.1%1st Place
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14.23Maine Maritime Academy0.410.4%1st Place
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12.79University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
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10.87Northeastern University1.593.1%1st Place
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10.1Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| William Michels | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 36.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 24.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.