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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+3.28vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.91+3.27vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+1.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74-0.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.12vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97-1.11vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20-2.57vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.61-0.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.27Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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4.37Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.26Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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4.89Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.43College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.47Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 14.4% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 9.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.6% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 22.8% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 9.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 6.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 52.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 21.6% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.